Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.649641 0.831437 1.035991 1.280557 1.562369 1.874401 2.243454
2025-09-21 0.401527 0.628033 0.915966 1.296644 1.774662 2.343640 3.060409
2025-09-28 0.236937 0.464185 0.792581 1.270420 1.917562 2.735154 3.817112
2025-10-05 0.147969 0.367040 0.725785 1.294112 2.113449 3.198058 4.687430
2025-10-12 0.089353 0.289269 0.662240 1.302956 2.279789 3.625555 5.530906
2025-10-19 0.047309 0.215291 0.579920 1.262293 2.362146 3.936221 6.228785
2025-10-26 0.023538 0.161692 0.514425 1.231745 2.448291 4.248712 6.935271
2025-11-02 0.011887 0.128822 0.477814 1.241106 2.591475 4.644453 7.766716
2025-11-09 0.004266 0.093963 0.421143 1.200175 2.644432 4.904515 8.411238
2025-11-16 0.001927 0.080846 0.413800 1.252707 2.854960 5.407566 9.416722
2025-11-23 0.000478 0.063402 0.385442 1.255451 2.976795 5.776627 10.235780
2025-11-30 0.000150 0.057929 0.392482 1.335026 3.238545 6.371571 11.400748
2025-12-07 0.000011 0.049556 0.386386 1.386202 3.456142 6.911499 12.509788
2025-12-14 NaN 0.039888 0.369500 1.409267 3.623042 7.376743 13.520593
2025-12-21 NaN 0.028554 0.335820 1.384517 3.696463 7.692074 14.312485
2025-12-28 NaN 0.022751 0.323430 1.411208 3.869578 8.175229 15.370004
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017222 0.306279 1.421385 4.009172 8.605339 16.353489
2026-01-11 NaN 0.010887 0.272931 1.378579 4.037232 8.846955 17.048507
2026-01-18 NaN 0.006706 0.245656 1.346300 4.082590 9.117077 17.791510
2026-01-25 NaN 0.004627 0.233045 1.356351 4.216819 9.543065 18.787229
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002349 0.206221 1.312866 4.231089 9.758540 19.451265
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001884 0.208179 1.368761 4.467128 10.370744 20.759932
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001074 0.196092 1.371691 4.584101 10.773434 21.737674